Wednesday, March 26, 2008

New Polls

Four weeks from today, we'll know how the voters in Pennsylvania feel about their choice for the Democratic presidential nomination.

Today, we have some intriguing information from the latest polls.

Rasmussen Reports' latest survey indicates a 10-point lead for Hillary Clinton, 49% to 39%.

The fact that Clinton is leading in Pennsylvania isn't surprising; other polls have been indicating the same thing. What's different is the apparent narrowing of the lead -- to just barely double digits.

The survey also suggests some lingering resentment from both Clinton and Obama supporters that could undermine the chances for the eventual Democratic nominee, whoever that turns out to be.

"If Obama wins the Democratic nomination, just 55% of Clinton voters say they are even somewhat likely to vote for him against John McCain. That’s down two points from 57%," Rasmussen writes. "If Clinton is the nominee, just 55% of Obama voters say they are at least somewhat likely to vote for her against McCain. That’s down nine points from 64%."

And Rasmussen also finds that the Democratic nominee is going to need his/her rival's supporters to beat John McCain in November.

Rasmussen finds that McCain has higher approval numbers than either Obama or Clinton, and he leads both in hypothetical matchups -- in spite of an unpopular war and an economy that is widely believed to be in recession. The latest poll shows McCain leading Clinton, 48% to 43%, and leading Obama, 50% to 41%.

No comments: