Sunday, October 28, 2007

More On The Senate Races

The Wall Street Journal has observed that political allegiances are shifting in New Hampshire, which may lead to the defeat of Republican Sen. John Sununu next year.

Sununu apparently will run against former Gov. Jeanne Shaheen, a popular Democrat, in the general election. Shaheen has been well ahead, according to polls I've seen.

New Hampshire, along with several Northeastern states, once voted reliably Republican when the party was about fiscal responsibility yet moderate on social issues. But in the last 40 years or so, since Barry Goldwater seized the 1964 nomination, the party has moved more to the right on social issues to bring in Christian conservatives as a voting bloc.

That, along with the Southwestern flavor that has ruled the party for a few decades, has made traditional Northeast Republicans uneasy. The WSJ points out some factors working against Sununu but, ultimately, acknowledges that his fiscally conservative voting record may help his party salvage the seat.

Right now, I'm inclined to believe that Shaheen will beat Sununu. Oddly enough, the Journal's own words convinced me.

Read what the Wall Street Journal said about New Hampshire, and then let me know if you think Sununu will be re-elected or if you think Shaheen is going to win the election.

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