Thursday, January 17, 2008

Romney vs. Clinton and Obama

At this point, it's tempting to believe that Mitt Romney has gained the traction he needs to win the Republican presidential nomination, but that's only based on his victories in the caucus in Wyoming (where he was practically unopposed) and the primary in Michigan (where Romney grew up and his father was governor for six years).

Upcoming primaries for the Republicans are not necessarily hospitable to Romney, and the outcome in those states could -- probably will -- shake things up in the GOP.

Nevertheless, Romney is the current leader in committed convention delegates on the Republican side.

So Rasmussen Reports has been conducting surveys to see how Romney might fare against Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama in the general election.

The news isn't good for the former Massachusetts governor, although the news is slightly better when Clinton is part of the equation.

Against Clinton, Romney comes up short, 47% to 41%, Rasmussen finds.

Against Obama, the margin is greater. Romney loses that contest, 49% to 37%.

(By the way, these surveys were conducted before the voters went to the polls in Michigan on Tuesday.)

Rasmussen says that both Democrats enjoy leads of about 20 percentage points among women. The story of the margin is told in the results among men. Romney defeats Clinton among men by double digits, but he loses the male vote to Obama.

Rasmussen has more bad news for Romney:

"A separate survey shows that 47% of likely voters would definitely vote against Mitt Romney," Rasmussen finds. "Among major candidates, only Hillary Clinton faces the same high level of determined opposition.

"Romney is favorably viewed by 36%, a 12-point decline since early January; unfavorably by 50%. Clinton is at 45% favorable, 53% unfavorable. Obama is at 53% favorable, 45% unfavorable."

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