Sunday, December 23, 2007

The News from New Hampshire

Right now, attention in the presidential campaign is rightfully focused on Iowa, where the presidential caucuses will be held on Jan. 3.

But less than a week later, on Jan. 8, voters in New Hampshire will hold their traditional first-in-the-nation presidential primary.

American Research Group still sees Hillary Clinton leading among New Hampshire's Democrats with 38%. Barack Obama has 24% and John Edwards has 15%. About 9% of New Hampshire's Democrats say they are undecided.

But the Gallup Poll says Clinton and Obama are tied in New Hampshire with 32% apiece. Edwards has 18%, according to Gallup.

On the Republican side, ARG says John McCain shares the lead with Mitt Romney, both with 26%. From there, it's a sharp drop to the third spot, which belongs to Rudy Giuliani with 16%. Mike Huckabee is fourth in New Hampshire with 11%, and 10% of New Hampshire Republicans are undecided.

Gallup agrees that Romney has the lead, and it says he leads McCain by seven points. Huckabee, Giuliani and Ron Paul essentially share the third spot, Gallup says.

How much will these figures be affected by what happens in Iowa on Jan. 3?

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